Crude Oil Price Fluctuation Analysis Under Considering Emergency and Network Search Data
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Crude Oil Price Determinants
Based on monthly observations, I specify an econometric model capturing the driving forces behind the crude oil price series in recent years. A large set of covariates, such as supply and demand variables as well as futures market variables, is used to test the impact on the crude oil price. Current price movements are a result of scarce refining capacity and speculators betting on higher price...
متن کاملForecasting Crude Oil Price Volatility
We use high-frequency intra-day realized volatility to evaluate the relative forecasting performance of several models for the volatility of crude oil daily spot returns. Our objective is to evaluate the predictive ability of time-invariant and Markov switching GARCH models over different horizons. Using Carasco, Hu and Ploberger (2014) test for regime switching in the mean and variance of the ...
متن کاملCrude Oil Price Fluctuations and Saudi
This study seeks to explain why crude oil prices fluctuate, the main cause being the quota regime, which characterises the OPEC agreements. Given that the Saudi oil supply is inelastic in the short term, a shock in the oil market is accommodated by an immediate price change. In contrast, a dominant firm behaviour in the long term causes an output change, which is accompanied by a smaller price ...
متن کاملForecasting Crude Oil Price and Stock Price by Jump Stochastic Time Effective Neural Network Model
The interacting impact between the crude oil prices and the stock market indices in China is investigated in the present paper, and the corresponding statistical behaviors are also analyzed. The database is based on the crude oil prices of Daqing and Shengli in the 7-year period from January 2003 to December 2009 and also on the indices of SHCI, SZCI, SZPI, and SINOPEC with the same time period...
متن کاملCrude Oil Price Forecasting with Anfis
Crude oil pricing is commonly expressed as a formula referenced to Brent or WTI crude oil. The final price of these two qualities and the spread between WTI and Brent can drive the decision when the purchase of a crude oil cargo is evaluated. A crude oil price-forecasting model is presented. It is based on past data, inventory level and volatility index and it is derived with a neuro fuzzy infe...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Global Challenges
سال: 2020
ISSN: 2056-6646,2056-6646
DOI: 10.1002/gch2.202000051